Is Beijing Rethinking Its Strategy On India?
published: 2017-09-06 16:14:15
This video shows you that Is Beijing Rethinking Its Strategy On India?
The Xiamen Declaration issued at the end of the 9th Brics summit held in that city in China’s southeastern Fujian province earlier this week is a 70-odd-paragraph peroration entitled “Stronger Partnership for a Brighter Future” that captures the consensus among five major emerging economies of Asia, Africa and Latin America.
Brazil, Russia and South Africa are oil and commodity exporters. With oil prices dropping precipitously since 2014 and the Chinese hunger for commodities abating sharply as their economy slowed, analysts started referring to loose “bricks” in Brics’ wall. President Donald Trump’s rise heralded precipitous change in America’s strategic posture, creating a strategic vacuum. It took the United States from undisputed global hegemony underwriting the existing economic, financial and political post-World War II geopolitical order to “America First”. Initially it appeared like an anti-globalisation and isolationist stance, abandoning allies in Europe and the Far East. Mr Trump’s subsequent actions only confused the picture as he approved a limited surge of troops in Afghanistan, declared a war till victory against terror groups threatening the US and the West, chastised Pakistan and locked horns with China over North Korea’s missile and now sixth nuclear test, simultaneously opening an inquiry into Chinese purloining of the intellectual property of US companies.
The current Brics summit was held against this evolving background. In addition, for India, the negative trend lines of Sino-Indian relations raised questions about the utility of China-dominated groupings. After decades of clandestine propping up of Pakistan to stymie India, Chinese support became bolder. The China-Pakistan Economic Corridor (CPEC), involving investment of $46 billion, was finalised, ignoring likely Indian objections as it traversed Gilgit and Baltistan, claimed by India. Further, China tied it to its broader Belt and Road Initiative (BRI) — a modern resurrection of the old Silk Road with a maritime dimension.
India reacted by standing alone and boycotting the Beijing Forum, attended by most of India’s South Asian neighbours. Two additional provocations were already irritating India. China had been vetoing Indian membership of the Nuclear Suppliers Group (NSG), arguing that membership of non-signatories to the Nuclear Non-Proliferation Treaty needed to be settled first. India saw it as an attempt to obtain nuclear legitimacy for Pakistan, a recipient of Chinese nuclear technology and serial proliferator via the A.Q. Khan network. China had also been blocking the listing of terrorist and Jaish-e-Mohammad head Masood Azhar by the UN Security Council’s 1267 committee.
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